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Are Large Language Models (LLMs) Good Social Predictors?
Kaiqi Yang, Hang Li, Hongzhi Wen, Tai-Quan Peng, Jiliang Tang, Hui Liu
https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.12620

Are Large Language Models (LLMs) Good Social Predictors?
The prediction has served as a crucial scientific method in modern social studies. With the recent advancement of Large Language Models (LLMs), efforts have been made to leverage LLMs to predict the human features in social life, such as presidential voting. These works suggest that LLMs are capable of generating human-like responses. However, we find that the promising performance achieved by previous studies is because of the existence of input shortcut features to the response. In fact, by r…